經濟緊縮的成因研究

經濟緊縮的成因研究

畢業論文

經濟緊縮的成因研究
 
摘  要：近幾年來，在我國經濟發展中發生了為期不短的通貨緊縮，抑制了社會的有效需求，影響了企業的正常經營，且各類價格全面下跌的同時，GDP增長仍然比較高，并且實現了經濟的高速增長，這使1些人特別是外國人難以理解，甚至懷疑統計數字是否真實。本文對上述問題進行了深入探討，以1997年至2002年的通貨緊縮為背景,從宏觀經濟學的角度出發，首先分析經濟緊縮和通貨緊縮的含義以及通貨緊縮的分類和我國當前通貨緊縮的態勢及特點，然后從緊縮性的財政政策和貨幣政策、有效需求不足、市場供過于求、生產成本的降低這4個方面詳細分析經濟緊縮的原因，接著研究了經濟緊縮、經濟增長、通貨緊縮3者的關聯，并且重點分析了我國1997年至2002年通貨緊縮條件下經濟增長的原因，最后分析了通貨緊縮與國民經濟運行的關系和經濟緊縮對我國經濟發展造成的不利影響，并且從財政對策、金融對策和分配機制3個方面重點分析了經濟緊縮的治理措施，得出了結論。

關鍵詞：經濟緊縮；通貨緊縮；經濟增長；治理措施

Study on the reasons of economic contraction
 
Abstract: In recent years, Chinas economic development has undergone a long period of deflation, the suppression of social demand，which affect the normal operation of its businesses, and various prices fell, while GNP growth is still relatively high, and achieving a rapid economic growth, this has made some people especially foreigners to understand, Even suspected statistics true. In this article, the issue of in-depth study, from a macro-economic point of view, First analysis of economic contraction and deflation, and the meaning of deflation classification and current deflationary trend characteristics, then deflationary fiscal policy and onetary policy, the effective demand is insufficient, the market oversupply lower production costs in these four aspects detailed analysis of the causes of economic austerity, and then study the economic slowdown, economic growth, Deflation three association, will also focus on analyzing the 1997-2002 deflationary conditions of economic growth, Finally, the deflation and economic relations and the operation of the economic slowdown on Chinas economic development caused by the adverse effects and finance, financial easures and distribution mechanisms three important aspects of the management of economic austerity measures. Come to a conclusion.

Keywords: Economic contraction; Deflation; Economy Increase; Counter measure

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